Betting For Football: The Popular Sport Picks

Gambling is the betting of money for something of material value which is referred to as “the stakes” for a particular sport event, where there is an uncertain outcome with the primary intent of winning some additional money or material goods. It can happen anywhere, at anytime. Gambling is permitted by law and most of it is regulated. Betting on teams like the NBA, NFL, NHL, and even the NCAA will get you started on the right track. But not all types of gambling involve betting money, like for example online gambling,there are some games that don,t require money to play. One reason gambling can be a fun activity is because it allows you to get to know different people who have different personality, especially when it comes to the game of football, nobody wants to miss the chance to make a good bet on their favorite teams.

Have you heard about online gambling? Do you have a football pick?

These are just a few of the questions that you might hear when people get together and talk about the NFL and College Football. You might hear the words gambling, online gambling or sports gambling. When you talk about betting, NFL and College Football are just a few examples of football picks that are being used. Many people still enjoy this activity,people have been betting from the beginning of time. When it comes to sports betting or any kind of betting make sure that you don’t take it to serious and just have fun. Do you have a football pick? It might be your lucky day.

Six Fundamental Rules For Successful Gambling Or How to Cut Out the Bad Gambler in You

When I worked for Ladbrokes many years ago, I was running a shop on a council estate with a reputation for extreme night-time violence in one of the rougher neighbourhoods in south-west London. The customers were mixture of colourful characters, high rollers of questionable background, and at least one was a professional hitman. The local pub was a no-go zone where the local police were known to smoke dope. The previous manager of the shop told me to keep a bundle of cash in my shoes when I went to the bank in the morning, “for compensation”. It was your general rough-house.

There was a regular customer there who was a genuine nice guy who seemed to have everything, certainly in comparison to the majority of people in that area – he had a beautiful wife and lovely kid, he was fit and healthy, played a good standard of football (his true passion) and had his own business running a garage.

But he had no idea how to gamble, and he was bitten by the bug so bad that a demon would take him over. He could not separate the act of gambling with the money when he was winning and when he was losing he would deny the existence of money so that he could convince himself that he was not losing – he was going to hell in a handcart.

One day his demon manifested itself in such an extreme form that I had to take drastic action: It was a Saturday morning and he was gambling on the Hackney and Crayford morning BAGs (greyhounds) meetings. And doing quite well. In fact he pretty much cleared out my morning float and then some. Eventually, about 12.30pm, he had hit the bottom of my till and I couldn’t pay him anymore.

Knowing that he played football on Saturday afternoon I offered to keep hold of his slip for safe keeping and pay him out at the end of the day. That way – this being before night and Sunday racing – he would have at least a day of peace with cash not burning a hole in his pocket.

Off he went, perfectly happy to have hit the bookies, but it wasn’t long before the demon was back and begging for succour. That afternoon he rang three friends and begged them to persuade me to cash his money so they could proxy bet for him. He even rang me up himself at half-time from the touchline during his regular Saturday game and begged me to put a bet on for him. I said no.

But, sure enough, he was back in the shop an hour later – still in his football kit – and he spent an hour giving me back as much of his money as he could. I eventually kicked him out of the shop and told him to come back on Monday.

I wish there was a happy end to the story, but there just isn’t. I wish I could tell you that he saw the error of his ways, or he won so big one day that he could retire from gambling and live a happy and fruitful life. I wish.

But no. He left my shop that afternoon, went home, put a suit on and went up West to the casinos in West Kensington and lost the lot – a redistribution of wealth from one bookie to another.

His wife and little kid went without money for the last time and left, his garage went to pot in a pile of gambling debts. The last time I saw him he was trying to blag money of my customers. Last I heard he was living rough..

Good intentions

Throughout his fall – and it happened rapidly in the months after that topsy turvy Saturday – one all-encompassing factor was staring me in the face: this poor man is not gambling he is just unhappy and is using betting to fill a void.

Let me just say now: if you see any symptoms of addiction in your attitude to gambling – lying, self-deceit, cutting your budget of essentials to feed your gambling habit, stealing, mood swings – then betting is not for you.

You need to log on to the Gamble Aware website and follow their advice to getting help. If you become addicted, gambling is the most serious of addictions, it is not to be taken lightly.. get help.

His behaviour was not how people should be reacting in this highly-business orientated environment. He was being overly emotional about the process of investing his money in something for possible reward. Would you, I thought, go into a bank and open a savings account because you like the colour of their sign, or invest in a company because you fancy the company’s head of human resources. Probably not.

His demise led me to believe that not everyone has the wherewithal to deal with what can be a highly intoxicating and addictive hobby. Very few people come out of it with more money in their pockets, that’s for sure. While some don’t mind this: another customer in a different shop used to hate collecting winnings, for him it was a way to keep his brain occupied, not a means to money, others need to win.

If you need to win, you need a good moral code to follow, a bible to refer to when things don’t seem to be going your way.

Follow my six rules of betting and you won’t end up letting gambling run and then ruin your life.

1.Every bet is a losing bet (formerly known as: don’t bet what you can’t afford)

Ah, don’t bet what you can’t afford. What utter glorious nonsense. The first person to ever utter this platitudinous rubbish should be taken out back of the bookies and summarily shot.

What does it mean? Don’t bet what you can’t afford to lose. Surely you can’t afford to lose anything? And if your one betting strategy is to bet what you can afford to lose, then you have thrown the one thing into the transaction that is guaranteed to leave you profitless: placing emotion inside the bet.

By building a complete picture for a bet that involves your own finances it becomes personal, and when a bet becomes personal all manner of complications enter the equation. What that half-baked idiot should have said was: Expect to lose every bet, that way you are detached from the money and you can concentrate properly on the matter in hand.

How many times have you heard stories of accountants who can’t control their own finances or doctors who don’t look after their health. More than once, I bet. When it is your job, it is a business transaction: no emotion, no mistakes. When it is your finances, health, etc, emotion is in the game, and the decision-making process becomes a lot more complicated.Take emotion out of your gambling (never bet on your favourite team, for example, it clouds your judgment. Why do you think bookies were very quick to put betting booths in football stadiums, they are huge cash cows) and you are on your way.

2. No such thing as a perfect system

There are hundreds of them on the internet, and the world and his wife will tell you that they never lose because they have a system, but the perfect system just does not exist.

The bookies have something called the 110 per cent market, in which regardless of the result they pick up a profit of ten per cent. Of course, ten per cent is their minimum goal and in my six years as a betting shop manager and supervisor at Ladbrokes I never worked in a shop, or group of shops that didn’t make at least the company’s minimum profit margin of 20 per cent gross. It’s usually closer to 30 per cent.

While some people may think that they have a system that can beat the bookies, they don’t: the bookies are very sensitive to changes in their market percentage and will change prices accordingly. They constantly monitor each others prices to be aware of people looking to bet across a market. Some systems claim that by searching hundreds of bookies they can find as low as a 92 per cent market, where a punter, by putting a percentage on each possible result at different bookies, can make an eight per cent minimum profit.

In the unlikely event that this occurs, you have to be pretty quick before the anomaly is closed, and shell out large amounts of money to make it profitworthy. Plus, the risk is that the loop closes while you are placing bets across the firms – and you end up sitting on a losing bet.

3. No substitute for knowledge

If you don’t know what you’re betting on, then you have no chance of winning. There are those firms that say they are profitable on the football (soccer, if you like) but have absolutely no idea what they are betting on. It’s all in the statistics. One website had the gall to suggest that if you crunch the numbers, work out all the variables, then there is no luck involved. Rot. Football fans know that it is not about 22 players, two teams. It is about weather, refs, fans, the pitch, how confident the star striker is feeling, whether the keeper had an argument with his wife the night before. Sure, there is no harm in punching in all the figures, but like everything in life there is no substitute for knowledge. Knowing.

4. Percentage accuracy is a load of old shoe shine

My favourite is the number of tipster sites that claim to have “70 per cent accuracy” or above as if it was the holy grail of football betting. One of my favourite ones is a football prediction website that miraculously predicted last season Chelsea had a 68 per cent chance of beating Reading at home (lucky 1-0 win) or Liverpool had only a 25 per cent chance of beating Portsmouth at home (they won 4-1).

If you really want to spend your money on that kind of dross, then good luck to you. You’re far better picking up a good football book that gets to the heart of what football is about:

I would suggest Brilliant Orange by David Winner (Bloomsbury), which is an excellent essay in the philosophy of the game in general but, in particular, the Dutch total football regime.

Left Foot Forward by Garry Nelson is an excellent insight into the day-to-day life of a journeyman footballer. It laughs in the face of anyone who says that there is no space for randomness in predicting football games.

And Defending the Honour of Kiev by Andy Dougan if you need to understand football’s importance in European society.

And if reading is not your thing, get The History of Football: The Beautiful Game box set for a comprehensive guide to the game.

5. No substitute for experience

It took me watching literally hundreds and hundreds of live games and interviewing dozens and dozens of footballers, managers, pundits and fans as a football reporter to get an idea about the game.

It took me six years as a betting shop manager, two years as a professional gambler (a long time ago, and it all went up in smoke through lack of experience), and almost seven years as a football tipster to get a hook on this gambling malarkey.

Don’t let anyone tell you it is easy: to be a successful gambler one has to maintain a constant vigil over oneself, a constant vigil over prices, keep up-to-date with the news, and pour over stats and analysis from as many sources as possible.

It is possible to win without proper investigation: in football you generally have a 1 in 3 chance of success – it’s like tossing a coin with the chances of it landing on its end about a 3/1 chance.

6. The most vulnerable punter is a winning one

When you’re up, you feel unbeatable, you are on top of the world, nothing can stop you. Your pockets are full, next month’s rent is paid, what could possibly go wrong.

Stop. Think about this: how could your judgment be anything other than impaired with all these wonderful things going through your head. Poker players understand this: they actual play the game in a different way when they have lots of chips. More confident, more aggressive.

Getting Winning Picks For College Football and Turning Them Into Profits

Getting winning picks for football can be very difficult. It can be even more difficult to profit money over the course of a long football season. This is why you need a great handicapping service and disciplined money management.

Great handicapping services are hard to come by. There are way more scamming handicappers than there are legitimate sports handicappers. This is why it is important to do your homework on college football handicappers and make sure they are experienced, dependable, and successful to make you consistent money.

After you find your handicapping service, you absolutely need to practice disciplined and consistent money management when gambling on college football. Even when that sports handicapping service is hitting 60% of their games, you can still bet way too aggressive and lose it all. Make sure to bet no more than 5% of your bankroll on any games and do not increase your wagers every time your bankroll increases. That is a recipe for disaster and will only work for a short period of time.

Having the right sportsbook is often an overlooked aspect of winning in sports betting. Generally, gamblers go for the sportsbook with the biggest bonus without being able to tell how reputable that sportsbook is with customer service and payouts. Also, having more than one sportsbook can be very beneficial to shop for the best football spreads to bet on.

College Football Handicappers have been reviewed diligently by customer’s that have had past success. When you use a college football gambling system like this, you need to combine all aspects of getting winning picks, money management, and reputable sportsbooks to ensure you the most success for the football gambling season. This is a simple, but tried and true philosophy.

Football Odds in Gambling

Football odds are very tricky and need to be examined carefully before any kind of bet is places on any game. Gambling needs a very sensitive approach. It needs such a specific approach because if football odds are considered carefully enough, football gambling can be very productive and profitable to the gambler.

So if football odds are such an integral but sensitive subject in the area of football gambling, what do players and gamblers need to look for? Are there specific tells to be found in the odds when it comes to gambling and placing bets on certain games? These odds show the chances of a certain team winning or losing as estimated and based on several facts. These are very important clues that can help make the differentiation between gambling as a gamble and gambling as a science slightly less distinct. The desired result in the end is, after all, to make money. No one wants to lose money.

When you bet, you need to take these odds into consideration. Likewise, when you make football bets, you need to take the football odds into consideration. No one wants to make a silly mistake by betting on a team whose odds are so greatly stacked against them that there is no way they could win. For example, a team in which most every starter is injured. Now of course there have been examples wherein there were great football odds stacked against a football team and they won anyway, and in that case the payout would be very substantial, however this is not a good way to attempt every day gambling when it comes to football games and their odds.

Sports Gambling Tips – Making Money From Betting

I am the Sports Editor for a sports news and gambling website. I have many years experience of gambling, sports journalism and study of mathematics. Am I a gambling expert? Well, I guess you could say that.

There are innumerable so-called gambling experts willing to dish out information of their systems to ‘beat the bookie’ or to make a second income from gambling, for a price of course. I won’t do that. I will simply give you information about bookmakers, odds and gambling for you to use (or forget) as you see fit.

The first thing to mention is that the vast majority of people who engage in gambling will be net losers over time. This is the very reason there are so many bookmakers making so much money throughout the world.

While bookmakers can sometimes take big hits, for instance if a favourite wins the Grand National, they spread their risk so widely and they set up markets that incorporate a margin, so they will always make a profit over the medium to long term, if not the short term. That is, as long as they got their sums right.

When setting their odds for a particular event, bookmakers must first assess the probability of that event occurring. To do this they us various statistical models based on data collated over years, sometime decades, about the sport and team/competitor in question. Of course, if sport was 100% predictable, it would soon lose its appeal, and while the bookies are often spot on with their assessments of the probability of an event, they are sometimes way off the mark, simply because a match or contest goes against conventional wisdom and statistical likelihood.

Just look at any sport and you will find an occasion when the underdog triumphs against all the odds, literally. Wimbledon beating the then mighty Liverpool in the FA Cup Final of 1988, for instance, or the USA beating the then mighty USSR at ice hockey in the 1980 Olympics are two examples of when you would have got handsome odds on the underdog. And could have won a decent wedge.

The big bookmakers spend a lot of time and money ensuring they have the right odds that ensure they take into account the perceived probability of the event, and then add that extra little bit that gives them the profit margin. So if an event has a probability of, say, 1/3, the odds that reflect that probability would be 2/1. That is, two to one against that event occurring.

However, a bookie who set these odds would, over time, break even (assuming their stats are correct). So instead they would set the odds at, say, 6/4. In this way they have built in the margin that ensures, over time, they will profit from people betting on this selection. It is the same concept as a casino roulette.

So how can you spot the occasions when bookmakers have got it wrong? Well, it’s easier said than done, but far from impossible.

One way is to get very good at mathematical modelling and set up a model that takes into account as many of the variables that affect the outcome of an event as possible. The problem with this tactic is that however complex the model, and however all-encompassing it seems, it can never account for the minutiae of variables relating to individual human states of mind. Whether a golfer manages to hole a major-winning five foot putt on the 18th at St Andrews it is as much down to their concentration as to the weather or day of the week. Also, the maths can start getting pretty darn complicated.

Alternatively you can find yourself a sporting niche. Bookmakers will concentrate their resources on the events that make them the most money, generally found to be football (soccer), American football and horse racing. So trying to beat the bookies while betting on a Manchester United v Chelsea match will be tough. Unless you work for one of the clubs, or are married to one of the players or managers, it is very likely the bookmaker setting the odds will have more information than you.

However, if you are betting on non-league football, or badminton, or crown green bowls, it is possible, through hard work reading lots of stats, and general information gathering, you can start to gain an edge over bookies (if they even set odds for such things, which many do).

And what do you do when you have an edge in information terms? You follow the value.

Value betting is where you back a selection at odds that are greater than the actual probability of an event occurring. So for instance, if you assess the probability of a particular non-league football team (Grimsby Town, say) winning their next football match as 1/3 or 33%, and you find a bookmaker who has set the odds of 3/1, you have a value bet on your hands. The reason being, odds of 3/1 (excluding the margin built in by the bookie) suggest a probability of 1/4 or 25%. The bookie, in your now learned opinion, has underrated Grimsby’s chances, so you have effectively built in an 8% margin for yourself.

Of course Grimsby (as is often the case) might fluff their lines and fail to win the match, and hence you could lose the bet. But if you continue to seek out and bet on value bets, over time you will make a profit. If you do not, over time, you will lose. Simple.

What You Should Do When Gambling Online

Online casino gambling can be very thrilling. The fun never stops when gambling online. The rush you experience when you win something is matchless. The fun and thrill can be increased further if you follow certain unwritten tips while gambling online. These tips will help in making the online gambling experience an enjoyable one. It will minimize the possibility of you shedding tears of frustration and failure. Let us call these tips the do’s of online casino gambling.

1) Decide on the games you are going to play at an online casino before you start gambling online. Do not play games you are not familiar with. Stick to the games which are known to you. This way, you will not have to lose money unnecessarily while learning how to play games.

2) Decide on a gambling budget and a losing limit. Stop gambling once your budgeted amount is exhausted. A wise gambler will quit when he/she reaches his/her losing limit. This will minimize the loss. So be wise and quit once you have used up the budgeted amount.

3) Be aware of the local law. In some places, online gambling is illegal. So, before you start to gamble on the internet, it is better to check and make sure that online gambling is legal in the place you are residing.

4) Be knowledgeable about the online casino you choose. There are many rogue casinos on the internet. Check and make sure that the online casino you have chosen is genuine and legitimate. Consult your friends or check out the casino on online gambling forums.

5) Give the online casino a test drive. Most of the legitimate online casinos offer the option of playing for free. Avoid casinos that do not offer this option. Play the free games offered by the online casino. If you are satisfied, then you can decide whether to start placing bets.

6) Be aware of the payout rates. Before starting to gamble online, you must check out the payout rates offered by the online casino you have chosen. Compare the payout rates against those offered by other online casinos. Make sure that you are not getting shortchanged.

7) Check out the bonuses. Most online casinos offer bonuses to their players. These bonuses range from sign-up bonuses to frequent-player bonuses. A good online casino will reward its players with small bonuses from time to time. But beware of bonus offers that seem too good to be true. Such bonuses are sometimes used by rogue casinos in order to attract people and then defraud them.

8) Ensure your privacy. Make sure that the security software used by the online casino of your choice is up-to-date. Before signing up, make sure that your data will be safe.

9) Place bets only when you are sure that you can afford to lose them. Do not play with money you cannot afford to lose.

10) Most of all have fun. Enjoy yourself and do not get too worked up. Play for fun and have a good time.

Follow these tips and your online gambling experience would be a lot better. Gambling is to be only for fun and making money. The minute gambling causes you tensions and worries it is time to quit.

Advantages of Gambling Online

Only a few years ago, if you wanted to gamble you had to head to a gambling town like Las Vegas or Atlantic City. If these options weren’t available to you then you just had to use whatever ‘resources’ you could find locally – which tended to be somewhat illicit if you could find them! Nowadays gambling is an international pastime and casinos, card rooms, and bingo halls can be found in every county and country in the world.

Given that such widespread gambling is a relatively new phenomenon, many gamblers question the reasoning for internet gambling. Some feel that online gambling lacks the excitement, sociability and regulation of land-based casinos. While online gambling does have some limitations, it does have an awful lot to offer.

Many online games offer players higher average payout schedules and a wider range of betting limits. Players can also check to see which games are paying out the most, switch between many different types of sports – horse racing, slots, poker, bingo, and learn how to play new games (without money bets) in the privacy of their home, before unleashing themselves on unsuspecting fellow players for money!

Online players often get better odds than they would find in ‘real’ casinos. A prime example of this is in roulette – the American roulette wheel has 38 numbered slots: 1 to 36, a zero and a double-zero, which gives the house edge 5.26 percent. However internet sites also offer the European version of roulette, which has only 37 slots: 1 to 36 plus a zero, which gives a more favourable-to-the-punter house edge of 2.7 percent. It is a similar story with slots, in that online casinos offer higher average payouts than real casinos. You can also check out each site’s monthly payout percentages for each type of game, giving you an even greater advantage.

There are ‘play for free’ options on nearly every game online. These give beginners and more experienced players the opportunity to ready or better themselves without risking any money that can be better spent when you really know what you’re doing in the game.

All prizes from online casinos are money! Land-based casinos offer free meals etc, but online you are guaranteed money prizes which include sign up bonuses, match bonuses, high roller bonuses, player coupons and VIP clubs, and there is always something on offer for new and returning players.

While poker, casino games and sports betting on events like the Grand National are the most common form of gambling online, there are lots of other forms of betting – keno, horse racing, lotteries, chess, pool – you name it and you will be able to bet on it online.

Internet gambling is extremely convenient – you can gamble from home, during your lunch break, on a train journey…. anywhere that has internet access. Not only that, there is also a never ending stream of tournament action. Some gamblers don’t like the idea of online gambling as they fear that they will be alone with no access to assistance. However, all reputable sites have hosts which provide exceptional customer care, the most popular of which is live chat and /or emails. As well as the hosts for information, many sites have message boards or chat rooms, where you can make friends and receive invaluable advice and tips from other players.

Strategize Your Moves to Win Gambling Online Bonus

I’ve just finished reading way too many articles about how to win a gambling online bonus and other fool proof ways to win at casinos. I’ve had enough with roulette computers that beat roulette wheels. I feel a need to get in my two cents in. My two cents are pessimistic. That being said, I do know how you can tilt the odds in your favour. It’s just not that glamorous. It’s like cutting out coupons in the newspaper before you buy your groceries.

Quality online gambling casinos like new customers. It’s a bit of an obvious statement, but a good place to start nonetheless. Quality online gambling casinos are wrestling with the marketing problem. Faced with many similar casinos, how can one create a unique value proposition for customers? How can they make their casino the best? There are several possible means. Casinos can compete on:

- Payout ratio (one casino pays out 98% of the money it takes in)

- Quality of the software

- Give you a gambling online bonus when you sign up.

The main problem with the first marketing effort is that it reinforces the notion that you’re taking money from the players. This might not be the fact that you want to emphasize in your online casino marketing efforts.

The problem with the second is that the best and highest quality software and resulting quality online gambling experience can’t be experienced until after the customer downloads the software. This strategy doesn’t help get new customers. The first two strategies don’t help you get new customers; they just help keep the ones you already have. The last strategy is the online equivalent to the $5 lobster dinner at Vegas. It’s just a loss leader – plain and simple.

Combined with search engine optimization and affiliate programs, the third strategy seems to be the strategy of choice. The proposal works like this. Sign up, deposit $50 and we’ll give you $50. The only catch for this gambling online bonus that you need to gamble a bit before you take the gambling online bonus money out.

Many quality online gambling casinos offer a gambling online bonus of 10%, 20%, or 25%. It might be better to look for individual free money for every $25 you deposit. If the quality online gambling casino gives you a free $50 for every $50 you put in, this works out to a 100% bonus. One place offered $100 for a $25 deposit. This is a whopping 400% bonus! Not bad.

So is there a catch? Not really, as long as you don’t end up losing more than the bonus. A little self discipline.

So, how do you hustle the quality online gambling casino?

A Blackjack player that knows some basic strategy has a disadvantage of around .5%. This means that for every $100 that you wager, you should get $99.50 back. I think that this is actually pretty good. For one hours worth of entertainment, you should be down at most a buck or two. If you’re lucky, you might win a bit.

Quality online gambling casinos usually want you to make $50 worth of bets before you take the money out. Normally, you’ll end up with $40 to $60 to take out (assuming you deposited $25 and the casino kicked in $25 as well). It’s cool is you suck at Black don’t sweat it just play Baccarat or Craps. In Baccarat, bet player or banker. In Craps, bet pass or don’t pass. These strategies give you about a 1% disadvantage. Make all your bets the table minimum. Keeping you bets at the minimum diversifies the risk over more hands and increases the chance that you will end up with between $45 and $55 worth of cash. Now just have fun and make $50 worth of bets. In general, it’s a good rule of thumb to deposit more than the minimum amount for the gambling online bonus. This is just to avoid suspicion. After you’re done, take most of your money out. If you leave a bit in, the casino might give you the same sort of gambling online bonus and you can make more money this way.